A team of researchers from Colombia University’s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, University of California, University of California at Riverside and the U.S. Geological Survey has come up with a physics-based model that marks a defining moment in earthquake forecasting. Bruce Shaw, a geophysicist at Lamont-Doherty said, “We now have a physical model that tells us what the long-term hazards are.”

For more info, please read the original article by Phys.org:
https://phys.org/news/2018-08-milestone-earthquake-hazards.html